Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Prediction Bias
As I was looking for a good failed prediction, I ran across the Maes-Garreau Point. Pattie Maes looked at predictions made by colleagues as to when it would be possible to "download" our brains, and therefore obtain immortality. As it turned out, the predictions were the same as the expected life expectancy of the researcher making the prediction. (http://www.kk.org/thetechnium/archives/2007/03/the_maesgarreau.php)
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2 comments:
that is pretty funny. Of course downloading might be a whole lot simpler than uploading it again later. How many off-site backups don't restore when you need them?
*grins*
MIT's Media Lab research is also a great source for you to explore.
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